I’ve never understood the rush to post next year’s championship odds immediately after the current season ends.
After the Seattle Seahawks destroyed the Denver Broncos 43-8 in this year's Super Bowl, odds for the 2015 Super Bowl were posted and the Broncos once again were favored to return to the championship game.
Who in their right mind would put money down on the Broncos to win next year's Super Bowl minutes after what transpired at MetLife Stadium on Feb. 2? These odds were posted three months before the NFL Draft was held and five weeks before free agency began.
Odds of winning the 2015 NBA championship came out last night after the San Antonio Spurs humiliated the Miami Heat. The NBA Draft is still 10 days away and a solid week remains before any name players with early termination options have to inform their teams of their intentions.
Players with ETOs this month are Miami’s Big Three of LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh, plus Carmelo Anthony and Andrea Bargnani of New York.
Next year's championship odds figure to fluctuate considerably, not only for the Heat and Knicks but also for whatever teams key players might choose to join.
Teams that draft Joel Embiid, Andrew Wiggins and Jabari Parker figure to improve their odds, though obviously not to near the degree as the James and Anthony decisions.
Despite the Spurs' coonvincing romp to this year’s crown, Bovada lists Miami at 3/1 odds to win next year’s championship, which would seem “odd” even if the Big Three chose to remain in South Beach given the pending retirement of Shane Battier, the likely retirement of Ray Allen, plus the expected departures of starting point guard Mario Chalmers and potentially several other team members.
The Spurs and OKC Thunder, who met in this year's Western Conference finals, are next at 6/1 for the 2015 title. Neither team is expected to make significant roster changes, although each is trying to secure key rookie contract extensions – Reggie Jackson for OKC and Kawhi Leonard for the Spurs.
Bleacher Report lists the Thunder as next year’s title front-runner at 5/1 with the Heat second at 7/1, the Los Angeles Clippers third at 8/1 and San Antonio fourth at 10/1. (At those odd, put me down for $20 on the Spurs right now.)
Here are Bovada’s NBA championship odds (www.Bovada.lv) for the 2014-15 season:
6/1: Thunder, Spurs
12/1: Bulls, Pacers
25/1: Warriors, Trail Blazers
33/1: Cavaliers, Mavericks, Grizzlies, Wizards
40.1: Lakers, Knicks, Raptors
50/1: Celtics, Nuggets, Pistons, Pelicans
75/1: Hawks, Hornets, Suns
150/1: Magic, Kings, Jazz
200/1: Bucks, 76ers